Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1377.941172 1597.272078 1852.376376 2174.010466 2572.984238 3057.377982 3.698939e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1074.887156 1348.263421 1702.327237 2206.175415 2924.924441 3947.039985 5.577598e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 901.791532 1186.079932 1579.448238 2184.611445 3133.705072 4646.179603 7.434029e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 803.097784 1097.364961 1527.171841 2233.431377 3437.273160 5568.032137 1.009479e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 699.398804 981.659663 1410.120500 2148.902514 3489.826038 6067.216887 1.222984e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 621.650511 892.415161 1317.073565 2080.460887 3545.522726 6583.120020 1.472558e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 557.191782 814.969949 1230.462229 2004.345871 3563.447871 7023.527094 1.735373e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 533.575911 799.076846 1242.190313 2106.427496 3963.739902 8490.336806 2.430570e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 506.128493 773.204209 1232.353039 2164.354441 4285.818546 9924.068659 3.294219e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 479.396608 745.318985 1214.680794 2202.422287 4573.588770 11421.541985 4.422764e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 449.155646 708.139073 1175.025690 2186.893747 4725.939853 12602.123236 5.631182e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 431.721790 691.800480 1172.404517 2250.994568 5106.567592 14795.006141 8.037186e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 416.864401 679.949715 1179.528850 2345.348638 5627.615325 18023.001433 1.270466e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 397.214067 657.531120 1163.265384 2383.359412 6007.847245 21099.949296 1.945054e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 374.073333 626.252310 1124.854799 2359.333851 6186.556248 23462.301893 2.773100e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 359.830566 610.727645 1117.561966 2413.365573 6653.572479 27936.986598 4.794033e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 335.297688 573.007778 1058.415730 2319.856063 6564.497702 29116.025151 6.262635e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 314.404355 540.985781 1008.685941 2244.228555 6521.633715 30635.828205 8.543691e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 294.736406 510.068913 958.615748 2160.213286 6423.031190 31742.786353 1.139669e+06
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 290.320236 509.603365 976.806231 2272.912429 7166.928159 40559.378084 3.301705e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 282.794189 502.111104 978.036714 2336.940978 7745.625357 49512.343043 1.114621e+07
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 274.378396 492.094377 972.262107 2379.048213 8254.226355 59353.286515 5.998033e+07
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 263.171934 475.376813 948.824457 2361.869123 8474.802302 66708.838669 5.269407e+08